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المفاجأة المعاكسة: لماذا قد تكون هزيمة الجمهوريين أكبر مما يتوقعه الجميع؟

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ما يعرفه ريفو عن الخبر

  • قد تواجه الجمهوريون هزيمة تاريخية نتيجة تحول في ولاءات الفئات التي ساهمت في فوز ترامب سابقاً.
  • بدأت شرائح الناخبين غير المنتظمين من اللاتينيين والشباب والسود بالتحول نحو الديمقراطيين بسبب عدم الرضا عن السياسات الحالية.
  • أظهرت نتائج التصويت المبكر وتعديلات الاستطلاعات تراجعاً في دعم الجمهوريين في ولايات مثل تكساس وجورجيا.
  • قد تتجاوز خسائر الجمهوريين في مجلس النواب أرقامهم التاريخية إذا شاركت الفئات المتأثرة بالسياسات الاقتصادية والترحيل بأعداد كبيرة.

في تشرين الثاني/نوفمبر 2024 استيقظ المحللون في واشنطن على مفاجأة لم تتوقعها معظم الاستطلاعات. فدونالد ترامب لم يكتف بالفوز بل حصد نحو 46 في المئة من أصوات الأمريكيين من أصول لاتينية وانتزع مقاطعات على الحدود مع المكسيك لم تصوت لمرشح رئاسي جمهوري منذ أكثر من قرن وحقق مكاسب لافتة بين الشباب والناخبين السود. يومها قيل […]

المصدر: القدس العربي

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