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Middle East

خبير اقتصادي يوضح لـ”سبوتنيك” 3 سيناريوهات لمستقبل الحرب على إيران وتداعياتها الاقتصادية

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ما يعرفه ريفو عن الخبر

  • حدد الخبير الاقتصادي أيمن عمر ثلاثة سيناريوهات لمستقبل الحرب على إيران تشمل تسوية جزئية، أو حالة لا حرب ولا سلم، أو مواجهة عسكرية واسعة.
  • تتضمن التداعيات الاقتصادية المحتملة ارتفاع أسعار الطاقة والتضخم وزيادة تكاليف الشحن والتأمين، مما يؤثر على الاقتصاد العالمي والأسواق المحلية.
  • يواجه مضيق هرمز تحديات كبيرة كونه شريان أساسي للطاقة، حيث تراجع تدفق النفط عبره بشكل حاد في عام 2026.
  • يعد الصراع الحالي اختباراً لأمن الطاقة والتجارة الدولية وقدرة النظام الاقتصادي العالمي على مواجهة اضطرابات الممرات البحرية.

قال الخبير الاقتصادي، أيمن عمر، اليوم السبت، إن “الحديث عن استئناف الضربات على إيران لا يعني بالضرورة اتخاذ قرار أمريكي نهائي بالتصعيد، بل يأتي في إطار مواجهة لم تُغلق فعليا، رغم الهدنة والمساعي الدبلوماسية”.

المصدر: سبوتنيك عربي

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