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سيناريوهات صندوق النقد الدولي: ماذا ينتظر اقتصادات المنطقة في 2027؟

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ما يعرفه ريفو عن الخبر

  • وضع صندوق النقد الدولي سيناريوهات اقتصادية لقياس تداعيات اضطرابات إنتاج الطاقة والتجارة والصراع في المنطقة على النمو والتضخم وأسعار النفط.
  • يتوقع السيناريو الأساسي انكماشاً اقتصادياً في المنطقة عام 2026 يتبعه تعافٍ قوي في عام 2027 مع تحسن إمدادات الطاقة.
  • يرسم السيناريو السلبي مساراً أصعب حيث قد تصل أسعار النفط إلى 130 دولاراً للبرميل في عام 2027 في حال استمرار الصراع.
  • تواجه الدول المستوردة للنفط مخاطر الركود المصحوب بالتضخم في حال استمرار الصراع بسبب ارتفاع تكاليف الطاقة وتراجع النشاط الاقتصادي.

وضع صندوق النقد الدولي سيناريوهات اقتصادية متعددة لقياس تداعيات اضطرابات إنتاج الطاقة والتجارة والصراع في المنطقة على النمو والتضخم وأسعار النفط.

المصدر: الشرق الأوسط

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